Seen early in 45 analysed launches; 37 of the 38 with an outcome rugged, crashed or went dead. 7 launches have no outcome yet.
First seen 2026-11-08 21:49 UTC · last seen 1h ago
Entered early
45
Rugged
19
Crashed 70%+
2
Went dead
16
Still alive
1
Graduated
5
Median entry
+9s after launch
Median buy
1.23% of supply
Track record
5
of 100 · from 38 settled launches · 1 still alive
What this covers, and what it does not
Only launches the LPX Engine analysed. A wallet's trades anywhere else are not here.
Only the early-buyer window: up to 40 wallets that bought in the first minutes of each launch.
No sells and no profit or loss yet. Buying early into a launch that later rugged says nothing about whether the wallet made or lost money, or knew anything in advance.
LPX does not know who owns a wallet and does not say. Links between wallets are a shared funder, shown with the transaction, never a claim that they have the same owner.
01Launches
Where it bought early.
Every analysed launch this wallet was among the first buyers of, newest first. Each row links to the token's read and to the chain.
A funder is whoever sent the SOL in a wallet's first transaction. A shared funder is a fact about two transactions. It does not show that two wallets have the same owner.
This funder is a high-activity wallet (about 24,000 transactions a day): an exchange, a bot or a service. Many unrelated wallets are funded this way, so no link is drawn.
Grouped on a launch
On the launches LPX analysed, this wallet was not grouped with other early buyers.
03The number
How the score works.
The track-record score is the share of a wallet’s settled launches that did not rug, crash or go dead, from 0 to 100. It is pulled towards 50 when the sample is small: (survived + 1) ÷ (settled + 2). A launch is settled once it has an outcome on file; launches under a day old are left out.
It always appears next to its sample size, and it is hidden below 5 settled launches. It describes the launches a wallet was early in. It is not a judgement of the wallet, and most launches end badly whoever buys them, so low numbers are the norm.
Something here wrong or out of date? Dispute or correct it in the LPX Telegram group: post the address and the transaction, and it gets checked against the chain and fixed.
Rugged: LPX recorded a creator dump or a liquidity pull on that token, with outside buyers exposed. The token’s read shows the before and after.
Crashed 70%+: a fixed-time reading found the price at or below 30% of the price at LPX’s first scan. Recorded for launches scanned since November 2026.
Went dead: a day or more after launch, under LPX’s viability bar when last checked. Still alive: above it.
